DSA
GENERAL GOVERNMENT GROSS DEBT SUSTAINABILITY
โ— WEO
History:Proj. start:End:
GG Debt/GDPโ‚€
110.7%
Base 2034
93.5%
โ€”
โ€”%
ฮ”
โ€”pp
Maturity
8.0 y
Horizon
2010โ€“2034(25y)
SHOCKMag:From:To:
Variable20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026 แดพ2027 แดพ2028 แดพ2029 แดพ2030 แดพ2031 แดพ2032 แดพ2033 แดพ2034 แดพ
โ—Real GDP Growth
3.1
3.1
1.8
2.3
2.9
0.6
1.0
3.0
2.7
1.9
-5.0
6.0
4.7
2.0
2.0
1.7
1.5
1.9
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.8
1.8
1.8
1.8
โ—Inflation (CPI avg.)
1.8
2.9
1.5
0.9
1.9
1.1
1.4
1.6
2.3
1.9
0.7
3.4
6.8
3.9
2.4
2.1
2.5
2.1
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
โ—Primary Balance / GDP
-2.2
-0.8
0.1
1.1
2.9
2.5
2.3
2.7
3.2
2.7
-8.2
0.5
4.0
2.9
1.1
1.5
0.7
0.8
1.1
1.3
1.5
1.7
1.7
1.7
1.7
โ—Eff. Interest Rate (Dom.)
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
โ—Eff. Interest Rate (FX)
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
โ—Nom. FX Depreciation
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
โ—FX Debt Share
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
โ—Current Account / GDP
-3.6
-2.7
-3.5
-3.1
-2.3
-3.5
-3.1
-2.8
-2.4
-2.0
-2.0
0.0
-0.5
-0.7
-0.5
-0.9
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
โ—‹ Nominal GDP Growth
5.0
6.1
3.3
3.2
4.9
1.7
2.4
4.6
5.1
3.8
-4.3
9.6
11.8
6.0
4.4
3.8
4.0
4.0
3.7
3.7
3.7
3.8
3.8
3.8
3.8
โ—† GG Gross Debt / GDP
84.0
84.3
87.0
87.7
85.8
92.3
92.5
91.0
90.8
90.1
118.1
112.6
103.5
105.1
110.0
113.5
110.7
108.9
107.1
105.2
103.0
100.6
98.2
95.8
93.5
แดพ Projection ยท Click projection cells to edit ยท โ–  Shocked ยท โ–  Imported ยท Debt concept: General Government Gross Debt (GGXWDG_NGDP) ยท IMF WEO Apr 2025
Debt concept: General Government Gross Debt (IMF GGXWDG_NGDP) ยท IMF DDT methodology (Escolano et al., 2021) ยท MC: 500 draws